Thursday, February 14, 2008

Mutual funds for your child

Rarely have we seen a time when parents were overwhelmed with so many investment options to help them plan for their children's future. It is equally true that often parents find themselves so preoccupied that they can't seem to find time to manage their own commitments, let alone plan for their children's education and marriage among other events. That is why it is important that they get some professional help. This is where mutual funds come in.

Put simply, mutual funds hire the services of a professional money manager to invest on behalf of a group of individuals. The individuals pool in their savings and leave it to the fund manager to manage their money in an optimal manner. Individuals can go about their work as usual, content in the knowledge that there is professional help at hand.

Mutual funds have much to offer to parents. Consider this - you have office work to complete, household work to do, children's homework to help with and whole lot of other social and personal commitments to take care of. In the middle of all this, where is the time to invest for your child's education or marriage or business?

Say hello to child plans/funds. We mentioned that mutual funds invest on behalf of individuals to achieve a pre-determined objective. For many investors, this objective is planning for a house, retirement, an overseas trip, parking surplus money. For parents, this objective can be 'planning for child's education or marriage or seed capital for his/her business'.

Parents must note some peculiar feature of child funds. These features tell parents exactly what makes these funds tick. It gives them a reason to consider these plans for building a corpus for their children's future.

1. Investment objective
The good news for parents is that there is common ground between their objectives and the objectives of child funds. Child funds are launched with the explicit objective of helping parents build a corpus. Sample this - Principal Child Benefit's investment objective reads - 'To generate regular returns and/or capital appreciation/accretion with the aim of giving lumpsum capital growth at the end of the chosen target period or otherwise to the Beneficiary (child).'

Even more explicit is UTI Children Career Plan's investment objective - 'to provide children after they attain the age of 18 years a means to receive scholarship to meet the cost of higher education and/or to help them in setting up a profession, practice or business or enabling them to set up a home or finance the cost of other social obligation.'

2. Asset allocation
Although most child funds take on a degree of risk by investing in stock markets, they are relatively less risky compared to diversified equity funds that can invest upto 100% of their assets in equities. They are relatively less risky because fund houses have taken adequate measures to ensure that child funds are managed conservatively.

The most important measure adopted by fund houses is to cap the equity investments at a reasonable level. Most of them have capped the equity weightage of the portfolio at varying levels, usually not exceeding 70% of the net assets. These funds have the flexibility to invest in equity and debt markets depending on the fund manager's view on these markets. These funds work like asset allocation plans allowing the fund manager to shift across asset classes so as to maximise returns for the investor. For instance, in an equity fund, the fund manager is usually compelled to remain completely invested in equities even when stock markets appear overvalued and therefore poised for a correction. But a child fund with a cap on the equity component can always shift a portion of its assets in debt when the going gets rough.

On the same lines when equity markets are overvalued, the fund manager can shift a portion of his assets to debt so as to capture gains. When equity markets decline, he can add to the equity component. By smartly allocating assets across debt and equities, he can ensure that he enters low and exits high, the cornerstone of a successful investment strategy

3. Lock-in
We mentioned that fund houses make provisions to ensure that the risk associated with child funds is controlled. One way to lower the risk of equities is to make long-term investments. Over the short-term equities are the riskiest assets; over the long-term, if you tread wisely, they can generate the best risk adjusted returns for you. That is just what fund houses do; they give the fund manager the time and flexibility to make really long-term investments in the child fund. For that, they have what is commonly referred to as a lock-in period.

If you are an investor in PPF (Public Provident Fund) and NSC (National Savings Certificate) then you already know what a lock-in period means. In fact, fixed deposit (FDs) investors are equally aware of this term. Only difference is that child funds have an equity flavour, while NSC, PPF and FDs are debt instruments. Reason why it makes imminent sense for equities to have a lock-in is because they demonstrate their potential over the long-term (at least 3 years in our view). When the fund manager is certain that he can invest the money for a longer period of time without being concerned about the investor standing outside his office demanding his money, he can make more prudent investments that stand a good chance of making money over the long-term.

For parents, who want to build a corpus for their children over the long-term, a lock-in must be seen as an ally for two reasons. One, it enables the fund manager to make investments that are in the investor's long-term interests. Second, it acts as a deterrent for the parent from making premature withdrawals.

As parents will appreciate, child funds have a lot of features working for them. Even if some of these features appear restrictive in nature (cap on equity investments, lock-in period) remember over the long-term they work to the parent's benefit. They instill discipline and have the potential to generate a corpus for the child, and in the final analysis that is all that matters.

5 common investment mistakes

If you are an investor who believes that getting invested is a simple 3-step process i.e. getting hold of an investment agent, filling up an application form and signing a cheque; then you got it all wrong. Investing is a lot more 'sophisticated' than that. It is an important activity that involves systematically short-listing your most important investment objectives and preparing an investment plan to realise them in the best possible manner. Although this may sound a little difficult, it can be achieved simply by avoiding some very common investment mistakes. Investors must note that since the list of mistakes one must avoid is endless; we have highlighted the five most common mistakes.

1. Investing without a plan
The first and most critical step while investing is to outline your investment objectives. Setting an investment objective simply means prioritising your needs into short, medium and long-term investment goals. For instance, planning for vacation (short-term), planning to buy property (medium to long-term), planning for retirement (long-term). Often investors stumble at the starting point while defining investment objectives; this in turn gets their financial plan in a tizzy.

2. Not diversifying well enough
Diversification is one of the basic tenets of investing. At Personalfn, we regularly meet clients who have invested a large portion of their monies in a single asset (like real estate for instance) or a single investment (like a stock). While such investors may do well during a runup in that asset/market (like real estate or stocks), it takes a downturn to underline how important it is to spread your eggs in more than one basket. Investors, depending on their risk profile should diversify their portfolios across asset classes like equities, fixed income, gold and real estate, among others. Similarly, within an asset class, they should diversify across various avenues, for instance within fixed income they should invest in fixed deposits, fixed maturity plans and small savings schemes. More than anything else, diversification helps to minimise/spread risk particularly during a downturn, as one investment can be a backup for another.

3. Ignoring risk
Often investors select an investment avenue/scheme simply because it provides better returns or is recommended by a friend, family member or investment advisor. Investment decisions should not be influenced merely on the basis of performance or a strong recommendation. Investors should understand that various investments have varying risk profiles. For instance, stocks/equity funds have a higher risk profile, while debt is relatively low risk. You must select an investment based on whether it suits your risk profile. For instance, a 55-Yr old who is headed for retirement must avoid technology stocks, which can prove apt for a 30-Yr old.

4. Getting married to your investments
Often investors have 'pet' investments and they can get attached to the same. So despite a dismal show, some 'pet' investments manage to hold their ground in the portfolio. Getting attached to your investments can prove detrimental to your investment plan. Is that house/car/vacation more important or a non-performing investment? The answer is obvious to any rational investor. Ensure that you review your portfolio regularly and weed out the duds. If an investment is no longer contributing to your investment objective, it has no business being in your portfolio.

5. Timing the markets
Some investors often delude themselves into believing that they are experts. So more than investing, they are often engaged in 'pastimes' like timing the markets. To be sure, even when market-timing works (which is rare since no one can predict stock market movements accurately and consistently), it does not do significantly better than regular investing regardless of market movements. Studies have shown that even if an investor called the market bottom consistently and accurately over a period of time, he would have done only slightly better than the investor who invests (the same amount) regularly over the same time period. This is no magic; this is the result of cost averaging and compounding (which incidentally Albert Einstein called 'the greatest mathematical discovery of all time').

Put simply, this implies that risk-taking investors must abandon the temptation to get caught up with stock market highs and lows. Instead, they must work at regularly setting aside a sum of money and investing the same in line with their risk profiles regardless of stock market fluctuations.

Invest in 'all-weather' funds

There is one event that occurs with alarming regularity in the mutual funds segment. Every time the equity markets hit a purple patch, a handful of funds hog the limelight. These funds deliver such superlative performances over shorter time frames, that it is hard to ignore them. The strong buzz surrounding the funds leads investors to believe that ignoring them would be a foolhardy move. It's a different matter that when the tide turns (read markets lose steam), such funds more often than not suffer the most. In effect, minus the rising markets, these funds lose their charm and end up as mundane investment propositions; a bit like 'one hit wonders'.

And it doesn't take much to deliver a blistering performance in conducive markets; all a fund has to do is take on high risk. In rising markets, sacrificing prudence at the altar of performance is often the mantra for success. For example, the fund could take concentrated bets in stocks and sectors that are the season's flavour. And such a strategy works fine so long as the markets are northward bound. Given how markets have moved over the last few years, we have more than a few funds that have made the most of rising markets.

On the other end of the spectrum are 'all-weather' funds. Their forte is delivering steady performances. It is unlikely that these funds will feature in weekly, monthly or half-yearly rankings. All the same, they continue to do their bit in a silent mode. More importantly, when the markets hit a rough patch, they will do a significantly better job on the damage control front vis-a-vis their 'one hit wonder' peers. As a result, over a market cycle, these funds will deliver a better showing as opposed to their flamboyant peers and in the process also expose investors to lower risk levels.

What makes an 'all-weather' fund tick is prudent fund management. The fund steers clear of risky investment calls and in the process forgoes short-term gains. But this brand of fund management does deliver over the long-term. And that's what equity investing is all about - the long-term (which is at least 3-5 years in our view). Expectedly, the investment advisor/financial planner has a role to play in ensuring that 'all-weather' funds find a place in your portfolio over ones that are simply the season's flavour.

This week equity markets fell sharply and closed in negative terrain. The BSE Sensex fell by 8.71% to close at 19,014 points; the S&P CNX Nifty closed at 5,705 points (down by 7.98%). The CNX Midcap posted a loss of 6.75%, before settling at 8,368 points.

Weekly top losers: Open-ended equity funds
Equity Funds NAV (Rs) 1-Wk 1-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr SD SR
JM Telecom 13.42 -9.98% -3.45% 1.53% 27.56% 5.47% 0.33%
UTI GSF Software 20.80 -8.77% -9.09% -23.19% -29.47% 6.91% 0.03%
Sundaram Select Focus 97.83 -8.50% -2.28% 39.56% 55.81% 8.04% 0.42%
Franklin Opportunities 36.29 -8.37% -3.52% 20.11% 32.34% 8.32% 0.37%
UTI GSFServices 68.57 -8.17% 1.51% 21.90% 32.45% 6.34% 0.35%
(Source: Credence Analytics. NAV data as on January 18, 2007.)
(Standard Deviation highlights the element of risk associated with the fund. Sharpe Ratio is a measure of the returns offered by the fund vis-a-vis those offered by a risk-free instrument)

Sector/thematic funds dominated the losers' list in the equity funds segment. JM Telecom (-9.98%) emerged as the biggest looser, followed by UTI GSF Software (-8.77%) and Sundaram Select Focus (-8.50%).

Weekly top performers: Long-term debt funds
Debt Funds NAV (Rs) 1-Wk 1-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr SD SR
ING Gilt 12.96 0.75% 3.42% 5.06% 6.91% 0.65% -0.14%
Birla Gilt Plus 26.52 0.58% 4.64% 8.88% 14.29% 1.20% 0.25%
Kotak Bond 21.76 0.51% 2.67% 6.96% 11.87% 0.61% 0.33%
Sahara Gilt 13.12 0.47% 1.35% 3.31% 6.02% 0.36% -0.05%
Kotak Gilt Investment 25.85 0.46% 4.04% 6.40% 9.83% 1.04% 0.05%
(Source: Credence Analytics. NAV data as on January 18, 2007.)

ING Gilt (0.75%) topped the long-term debt funds segment; Birla Gilt Plus (0.58%) and Kotak Bond (0.51%) occupied second and third positions respectively.

Weekly top losers: Balanced funds
Balanced Funds NAV (Rs) 1-Wk 1-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr SD SR
Canara Robeco Balanced II 50.79 -6.48% -0.63% 21.62% 32.92% 5.52% 0.34%
LIC MF Balanced 68.25 -6.14% -2.42% 39.87% 46.52% 6.99% 0.34%
Escorts (ESCO.BO, news) Balance 72.63 -6.12% -0.48% 35.39% 49.22% 6.26% 0.40%
FT India Balanced 43.70 -5.73% -1.74% 15.01% 30.16% 5.21% 0.37%
ICICI (ICIC.BO, news) Pru. Balanced 44.33 -5.72% -0.27% 16.14% 22.56% 4.92% 0.32%
(Source: Credence Analytics. NAV data as on January 18, 2007.)

Canara Robeco Balanced II (-6.48%) suffered the most in the balanced funds segment. LIC MF Balanced (-6.14%) and Escorts Balance (-6.12%) also featured in the losers' list.

Ever wondered how at times, mutual funds with similar portfolios have disparate performances to show for. In effect, it's a case of similar portfolios yielding different results! It should be understood although the portfolios are similar at present, they may have originated at different points in time. Similarly, the possibility of one of the funds having maintained a higher cash allocation in a particular month that coincided with a crash in equity markets cannot be ruled out. These are just some instances that explain the disparate performances. While investors taking efforts to study portfolios is a welcome sign, the need to adopt the right approach in order to make an accurate evaluation cannot be overstated.

Rupee at 2-1/2 month lows on dlr squeeze

he rupee fell to its lowest level in 2-1/2 months on Wednesday as a dollar shortage in the market and concerns about foreign funds selling stocks prompted banks to sell the local unit.

The partially convertible rupee ended at 39.76/77 per dollar after falling as far as 39.8950 in afternoon trade, its lowest since November 27. The rupee had closed at 39.66/67 on Tuesday.

"We've seen quite a lot of activity today, with supplies from the stock market reduced and importers buying dollars ... in addition to a lack of dollar supplies," said Rohan Lasrado, head of foreign exchange trading at HDFC Bank.

Foreign funds bought more than $17 billion of stocks last year, a key driver of the rupee's rise of more than 12 percent in 2007. But the funds have sold more than $3.5 billion so far this year as weak global markets heighten risk aversion.

That has led to a dollar shortage in the banking system, spurring dealers to buy dollars in the spot market and sell them in the forward market, pushing near-term currency forwards into discount.

Dollar/rupee forward premiums were quoting at a 0.03-3.20 percent discount for 1-5 months.

"That is why exporters are postponing their dollar sales, as they traditionally book their receivables when it is trading at a premium," the head of trading at a foreign bank said.

India's benchmark share index rose 2.05 percent on Wednesday, snapping a five-day fall, but dealers said most of the gains were due to local fund buying rather than foreign buying.

Data showed India's central bank bought $2.73 billion in intervention in December, taking its dollar purchases in 2007 to $74.9 billion as it tried to stem the rupee's more than 12 percent rise in 2007.

'India will compete with US, Chinese economies by 2020'

India will be a global economic giant by 2020 and will compete on equal footing with the US and Chinese economies by that period, Minister of State for Mines T Subbarami Reddy said on Wednesday.

"By 2020, India will be one of the most competing countries matching the economies of the US and China. The country's Economy is spiralling high and will continue to do so under the present UPA government under the leadership of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh," Reddy said.

The way in which developed nations were evincing interest in the Indian Economy, it showed that the country has made considerable economic progress, he said after inaugurating the Metallurgy India 2008, Exhibition at Pragati Maidan in New Delhi.

Reddy said Indian steel makers could benefit from the exhibition as it showcased state-of-the-art technology in pipe and other steel products.

Even the oil exploration Companies could take advantage of the platform, in which over 200 exhibitors from across the globe were displaying their products.

ArcelorMittal posts $10 bn profit in 2007

ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steel company, on Wednesday reported an annual net profit of USD 10.36 billion in 2007.

The results represented a 30 per cent increase from 2006 when the steelmaker posted a pro forma net profit of USD 7.9 billion, the company said in a statement.

The 2007 results marked the first full year following the merger of Arcelor and Mittal Steel in June 2006.

"I a very proud of the way the two Companies have integrated so successfully, building a steel company which is focussed on leading the transformation of our industry towards a sustainable future," said Lakshmi Mittal, president and CEO, in the statement.

"Today's result clearly demonstrate the considerable progress that we are making in this regard," he said.

India will feel the heat, warns IMF

The macroeconomic effects of the global crisis in financial Markets will be serious and no region will escape entirely unscathed, the chief of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Wednesday

IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who is on a three-day visit to India, said in a speech authorities should respond to any downturn through a mix of fiscal and monetary policy to sustain domestic demand.

Strauss-Kahn said the world Economy had entered a difficult phase with the financial crisis spreading to the real Economy.

"I believe that the effects will be felt increasingly in Europe and I do not think the emerging economies are immune from the crisis," he told a meeting organised by a leading Indian economic think-tank.

"This has become a global problem that requires a global solution. Emerging Markets need to join industrial countries in the macroeconomic and regulatory policy responses. Such a collaborative approach offers the best hope for ensuring the stability of the global Economy."

The IMF chief said central banks would need to continue to provide liquidity to ensure the smooth functioning of interbank money Markets and advised regulatory authorities to make sure they have the capacity to react rapidly to changes.

Strauss-Kahn called on emerging nations to contribute to ensuring global economic stability.

"There is also a broader role that some emerging economies can play to help support global growth -- through policies to strengthen their domestic demand as a growth engine, including greater exchange rate flexibility."